Spillovers and Euroscepticism

Thursday, July 9, 2015
J102 (13 rue de l'Université)
Jean-François Jamet , European Central Bank
Johannes Kleibl , European Central Bank
Demosthenes Ioannou , EU Institutions and Fora Division, European Central Bank

During the crisis, trust in the EU has declined substantially in many European countries. While previous research on European public opinion has mainly focused on the impact of domestic country- and individual-level factors on public attitudes towards the EU, this paper argues that developments in other EU member states can also have a significant impact on domestic euroscepticism. Specifically, deteriorating economic and fiscal conditions in other member states can lead to concerns in domestic publics about possible negative spillovers on the domestic economy and the ability of the EU to deliver positive economic outcomes. This in turn may lead to rising euroscepticism at the domestic level. The analysis of a panel data set of 28 EU and 17 euro area member states lends support to these arguments by showing that higher unemployment rates and government debt levels in other European countries are systematically related to lower levels of trust in the EU domestically.

Paper
  • ecbwp1815.en.pdf (551.0 kB)